{"id":3236,"date":"2019-11-29T13:53:26","date_gmt":"2019-11-29T12:53:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tagforetagen.se\/?p=3236"},"modified":"2020-02-12T10:02:54","modified_gmt":"2020-02-12T09:02:54","slug":"rapport-om-ertms-utrullningen-pekar-mot-kollaps-for-godstrafiken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tagforetagen.se\/2019\/11\/rapport-om-ertms-utrullningen-pekar-mot-kollaps-for-godstrafiken\/","title":{"rendered":"Rapport om ERTMS-utrullningen pekar mot kollaps f\u00f6r gods­trafiken"},"content":{"rendered":"Till f\u00f6ljd av att en l\u00e5ng rad t\u00e5gf\u00f6retag inte kommer hinna planera installation av ERTMS-ombordutrustning i tid \u2013 eller ens kan finansiera densamma \u2013 blir det allt sv\u00e5rare att uppn\u00e5 m\u00e5let med detta megaprojekt. Som en bekr\u00e4ftelse av de farh\u00e5gor branschen framf\u00f6rt under mer \u00e4n tio \u00e5rs tid har nu Trafikverket i\u00a0en rapport best\u00e4lld av konsulter fr\u00e5n Ramboll<\/a>\u00a0visat p\u00e5 ett antal stora risker med projektet.<\/p>\n

Enligt Ramboll \u00e4r de mest uttalade riskerna:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Sv\u00e5righeter f\u00f6r operat\u00f6rerna att finansiera ERTMS-ombordutrustning<\/li>\n
  2. Lok ur tj\u00e4nst vid installationer<\/li>\n
  3. Risk f\u00f6r f\u00f6rseningar och kapacitetsproblem vid installation av ombordutrustning<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Risker av mindre karakt\u00e4r, men \u00e4nd\u00e5 betydande \u00e4r enligt Ramboll:<\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Inf\u00f6randeplanen g\u00f6r att vissa lok m\u00e5ste uppgraderas f\u00f6r mycket korta str\u00e4ckor ERTMS<\/li>\n
    2. Fordon byts ut eller uppgraderas on\u00f6digt tidigt p\u00e5 grund av \u00e4ndrad tidplan<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      ERTMS-inf\u00f6randet leder till \u00f6kade kostnader f\u00f6r t\u00e5goperat\u00f6rer. Detta f\u00f6rdyrar f\u00f6rdyrar kunderbjudandet vilket ger minskande transportvolymer. Kostnaderna leder till ett minskat antal mindre operat\u00f6rer, och att j\u00e4rnv\u00e4gen som alternativ f\u00f6rsvinner p\u00e5 vissa str\u00e4ckor. Detta g\u00e4ller s\u00e4rskilt godstransporter som idag drivs av mindre operat\u00f6rer i pressat kostnadsl\u00e4ge. I sin tur drabbar det industrin med h\u00f6gre kostnader och det riskerar att f\u00f6rsv\u00e5ra industrins aff\u00e4rsverksamhet. Rapporten pekar p\u00e5 en konkret risk f\u00f6r \u00f6verflyttning till andra \u2013 mindre klimatsmarta \u2013 transportslag.<\/p>\n

      I en Fas 2 ska konsultteamet utreda konsekvenser f\u00f6r bantillg\u00e4nglighet och drifts\u00e4kerhet i t\u00e5gsektorn. \u00c4ven dessa konsekvenser kan f\u00e5 en h\u00e4mmande p\u00e5verkan p\u00e5 volymer i t\u00e5gsektorn, genom att de p\u00e5verkar sektorns upplevda p\u00e5litlighet, skapar merkostnader samt p\u00e5 andra s\u00e4tt f\u00f6rs\u00e4mrar f\u00f6ruts\u00e4ttningarna f\u00f6r t\u00e5gdrift i samband med ERTMS-inf\u00f6randet.<\/p>\n

      En fr\u00e5ga som rests \u00e4r att ERTMS-inf\u00f6randet motverkar avregleringen av t\u00e5gtrafiken. Visserligen inneb\u00e4r inte fri konkurrens per automatik att m\u00e5let \u00e4r att maximera antalet akt\u00f6rer p\u00e5 marknaden. Dock finns risken att mindre akt\u00f6rer, som verkar i nischer som \u00e4r mindre intressanta f\u00f6r st\u00f6rre akt\u00f6rer, drabbas s\u00e4rskilt h\u00e5rt.<\/p>\n

      Rapportf\u00f6rfattarna konkluderar att ERTMS inneb\u00e4r en tanke om EU-gemensamt digitalt signalsystem och att m\u00e5nga nog tycker att denna tanke i grunden \u00e4r god. Inom en tidsrymd som \u00e4r \u00f6versk\u00e5dlig f\u00f6r branschens akt\u00f6rer ser det stora flertalet inte nyttan med ERTMS. Ramboll bed\u00f6mer att det vore l\u00e4mpligt om till exempel Trafikverket i dialog med branschen \u00e4nnu mer kunde tydligg\u00f6ra nyttorna med ERTMS, och hur v\u00e4gen fram\u00e5t ser ut f\u00f6r att realisera dessa.<\/p>\n

      Den st\u00f6rre politisk fr\u00e5gan om vilken typ av j\u00e4rnv\u00e4gssektor vi vill ha, givet j\u00e4rnv\u00e4gens milj\u00f6m\u00e4ssiga betydelse och Trafikverkets prognoser att d\u00e4r j\u00e4rnv\u00e4gssektorns transportarbete ska \u00f6ka med n\u00e4rmare 50 procent fram till 2040. En bransch med dagens relativt l\u00e5ga l\u00f6nsamhet framst\u00e5r inte som det mest optimala f\u00f6r att klara det. Under ERTMS-utrullningen f\u00f6rs\u00e4mras branschens ekonomiska f\u00f6ruts\u00e4ttningar ytterligare och i framtiden finns andra stora investeringsbehov, exempelvis avseende bromssystem.<\/p>\n

      L\u00e4s hela rapporten<\/a>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Till f\u00f6ljd av att en l\u00e5ng rad t\u00e5gf\u00f6retag inte kommer hinna planera installation av ERTMS-ombordutrustning i tid \u2013 eller ens kan finansiera densamma \u2013 blir det allt sv\u00e5rare att uppn\u00e5 m\u00e5let med detta megaprojekt. Som …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5856,"featured_media":3166,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,192,30],"tags":[],"article_type":[],"agreement":[],"for-members":[],"class_list":["post-3236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-godstrafik","category-overflyttning-till-jarnvag","category-transportpolitik"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nRapport om ERTMS-utrullningen pekar mot kollaps f\u00f6r godstrafiken - T\u00e5gf\u00f6retagen<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.tagforetagen.se\/2019\/11\/rapport-om-ertms-utrullningen-pekar-mot-kollaps-for-godstrafiken\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rapport om ERTMS-utrullningen pekar mot kollaps f\u00f6r godstrafiken - T\u00e5gf\u00f6retagen\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Till f\u00f6ljd av att en l\u00e5ng rad t\u00e5gf\u00f6retag inte kommer hinna planera installation av ERTMS-ombordutrustning i tid \u2013 eller ens kan finansiera densamma \u2013 blir det allt sv\u00e5rare att uppn\u00e5 m\u00e5let med detta megaprojekt. 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